Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.308872 0.413299 0.528414 0.662596 0.812808 0.974141 1.158976
2025-06-08 0.149859 0.276171 0.435484 0.639707 0.885457 1.164445 1.498709
2025-06-15 0.089341 0.220343 0.404320 0.655589 0.971105 1.340146 1.792364
2025-06-22 0.044675 0.166715 0.362248 0.647481 1.020348 1.468170 2.027511
2025-06-29 0.017006 0.121656 0.319616 0.628858 1.048772 1.565148 2.220775
2025-07-06 0.007919 0.107048 0.319297 0.665345 1.145679 1.744127 2.510695
2025-07-13 0.003227 0.097844 0.325260 0.709144 1.251104 1.932985 2.812124
2025-07-20 0.000666 0.088366 0.328225 0.747092 1.347873 2.110552 3.099637
2025-07-27 0.000141 0.089313 0.350511 0.814115 1.483953 2.337773 3.447983
2025-08-03 NaN 0.083422 0.357820 0.857411 1.587362 2.523535 3.745644
2025-08-10 NaN 0.068394 0.342790 0.864002 1.639237 2.643067 3.961512
2025-08-17 NaN 0.042791 0.295135 0.813662 1.608926 2.655262 4.043293
2025-08-24 NaN 0.021930 0.247126 0.759513 1.573877 2.664522 4.127044
2025-08-31 NaN 0.011421 0.219470 0.736896 1.582478 2.730068 4.281165
2025-09-07 NaN 0.007715 0.213990 0.753439 1.647905 2.870040 4.528439
2025-09-14 NaN 0.003276 0.196405 0.744868 1.674643 2.957830 4.709235
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000515 0.174540 0.724771 1.682208 3.018803 4.855088
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000343 0.181577 0.764057 1.781407 3.203927 5.160041
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000327 0.192240 0.811105 1.892818 3.405826 5.486751
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000220 0.199896 0.851796 1.994413 3.594506 5.796681
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000627 0.222077 0.923503 2.144530 3.849401 6.191876
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000575 0.232242 0.969728 2.255008 4.050484 6.518145
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000051 0.224112 0.976759 2.304253 4.168214 6.737407